Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Long And Suite Preview: The NFC

Both of our experts are unusually optimistic about Aaron Rodgers and the Packers this year.
By Jeremy Conlin (@jeremy_conlin) and Joe Parello (@HerewegoJoe)

We're just gonna blow through these quickly - just post our picks for how each division will finish, what each team's record will be, and how the playoff seedings stack up. The heavy analysis as to how and why those things will come about will be in tomorrow's full-season preview. This is just quick and dirty picks. First will be each division's order of finish. The second section will have each team's record (and a pick for each team's respective over/under). The third section will be our top six teams.

The Divisions

The NFC East

Joe's Picks:

1. Philadelphia (11-5)
2. Washington (9-7)
3. New York Giants (7-9)
4. Dallas (7-9)

Jeremy's Picks:

1. Philadelphia (9-7)
2. New York Giants (7-9)
3. Washington (7-9)
4. Dallas (6-10)

The NFC North

Joe's Picks:

1. Green Bay (12-4)
2. Chicago (10-6)
3. Detroit (5-11)
4. Minnesota (3-13)

Jeremy's Picks:

1. Green Bay (13-3)
2. Chicago (9-7)
3. Detroit (7-9)
4. Minnesota (4-12)

The NFC South

Joe's Picks:

1. New Orleans (11-5)
2. Tampa Bay (9-7)
3. Atlanta (8-8)
4. Carolina (7-9)

Jeremy's Picks:

1. New Orleans (13-3)
2. Atlanta (9-7)
3. Carolina (8-8)
4. Tampa Bay (6-10)

NFC West

Joe's Picks:

1. Seattle (11-5)
2. San Francisco (10-6)
3. St. Louis (7-9)
4. Arizona (5-11)

Jeremy's Picks:

1. Seattle (13-3)
2. San Francisco (11-5)
3. Arizona (7-9)
4. St. Louis (6-10)

Over/Unders

The lines listed here will be the latest lines available as of publishing time, so Tuesday morning. Best Bets (picking a team to be two wins or more above or below the listed line, or anywhere we're just "feeling it") will be in bold. In instances where our predicted record is the same as a Vegas line, we will list our pick as leaning in italics. (Because the letters are leaning - get it? Wow. Hilarious.)

Arizona Cardinals
Line: 7.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (5-11)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (7-9)

Atlanta Falcons
Line: 8.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (8-8)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (9-7)

Carolina Panthers
Line: 7.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (7-9)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (8-8)

Chicago Bears
Line: 8.5
Joe's Pick: OVER (10-6)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (9-7)

Dallas Cowboys
Line: 7.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (7-9)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (6-10)

Detroit Lions
Line: 8.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (5-11)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (7-9)

Green Bay Packers
Line: 10.5
Joe's Pick: OVER (12-4)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (13-3)

Minnesota Vikings
Line: 6.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (3-13)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (4-12)

New Orleans Saints
Line: 10.5
Joe's Pick: OVER (11-5)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (13-3)

New York Giants
Line: 8
Joe's Pick: UNDER (7-9)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (7-9)

Philadelphia Eagles
Line: 9
Joe's Pick: OVER (11-5)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (9-7)

San Francisco 49ers
Line: 10.5
Joe's Pick: UNDER (10-6)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (11-5)

Seattle Seahawks
Line: 11
Joe's Pick: UNDER (11-5)
Jeremy's Pick: OVER (13-3)

St. Louis Rams
Line: 6.5
Joe's Pick: OVER (7-9)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (6-10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: 7
Joe's Pick: OVER (9-7)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (6-10)

Washington Redskins
Line: 7.5
Joe's Pick: OVER (9-7)
Jeremy's Pick: UNDER (7-9)

Seven disagreements among the 16 NFC teams - Atlanta, Carolina, San Francisco, Seattle, St. Louis, Washington, and the biggest disagreement we have this year (three full wins), Tampa Bay. We both really like the under for Minnesota, and the over for Green Bay.

The Playoff Teams

Joe's Picks:

1. Green Bay (12-4)
2. Seattle (11-5)
3. New Orleans (11-5)
4. Philadelphia (11-5)
5. San Francisco (10-6)
6. Chicago (10-6)

Jeremy's Picks:

1. New Orleans (13-3)
2. Green Bay (13-3)
3. Seattle (13-3)
4. Philadelphia (9-7)
5. San Francisco (11-5)
6. Chicago (9-7)

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