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| This guy isn't going to win the Super Bowl again. I think. |
Football season is back!
Just like last year, I'm running through all 32 teams and offering three potential paths for their season. One has the glass half-full (or, really, the glass full-full), one has the glass half-empty (or, well, the glass all-empty), and one last path that I deem the most realistic, and hence will serve as my nominal "prediction" for that team.
I stayed mostly vague in terms of playoff results in the realistic sections. The reason for that is that I find most pre-season predictions to be largely stupid. Looking at the landscape of the league, the NFC is incredibly top-heavy (Carolina, Arizona, Seattle, Green Bay) but then a whole bunch of riff-raff (it was hard to talk myself into anyone at all taking the last playoff spot in the NFC). Meanwhile, the AFC really only has one truly great team (New England), followed by maybe nine different teams that seem to have a reasonable-or-better chance at grabbing a playoff spot (Cincinnati, Kansas City, Pittsburgh, Houston, Denver, Indianapolis, Oakland, Buffalo, New York). But, each of those teams have obvious flaws that are likely to be exposed in the playoffs (which we'll talk about in their respective sections).
Here's where my complaint comes in - when you're picking a Super Bowl winner, you're really picking the team most likely to REACH the Super Bowl. There's no way to reasonably project what teams will look like in five months, so saying "I like Carolina to win the Super Bowl because I think they'd beat Cincinnati" is just stupid. Once you're in the Super Bowl, it's effectively a coin-flip. As such, the most logical pick is to take the team that has the biggest gap between them and the rest of the conference, and that team seems to be New England. They're the team most likely to win the Super Bowl, if only because they're the team most likely to reach the Super Bowl (unless you're convinced that each of the top four teams in the NFC is better than them, which I find dubious).






